Monday, March 09, 2009

Does Winning The Rookie Of The Year And MVP Awards Guarantee Any Love From The Hall Of Fame?

That MLB '09 commercial with Dustin Pedroia and his MVP trophy got me thinking tonight: how many players who won both the Rookie of the Year award and either the MVP or Cy Young awards have later been inducted into the Hall of Fame?

By my count, 23 players have won both awards - 18 everyday players and five pitchers. Of the 18 MVP winners, five are either still active or not yet eligible for the Hall of Fame: Pedroia, Ryan Howard, Albert Pujols, Ichiro Suzuki, and Jeff Bagwell. I count three guaranteed Hall of Famers in that group: Pujols, Ichiro, and Bagwell. With Pedroia and Howard, it's way too soon to tell, although the latter certainly isn't hurting his case by crushing homeruns at a ridiculous rate. Hey, it worked for Harmon Killebrew and Reggie Jackson, right? Pedroia doesn't have that cache to his credit, which means the final resting place for his legacy could depend on how the Red Sox fare over the next few years. If they get to the playoffs annually and win another World Series or three, it will make him look good. If they don't, he becomes less impressive by default.

The other thirteen are as follows:


PlayerROYMVPHOF?
Jose Canseco19861988No
Cal Ripken19821983, 1991Yes
Andre Dawson19771987No
Fred Lynn19751975No
Thurman Munson19701976No
Johnny Bench1968 1970, 1972 Yes
Rod Carew 19671977 Yes
Dick Allen 19641972 No
Pete Rose1963 1973 No
Orlando Cepeda 19581967 Yes
Frank Robinson 19561961, 1966 Yes
Willie Mays 19511954, 1965 Yes
Jackie Robinson1947 1949 Yes


The first four are in the Hall of Fame, and seven of the thirteen overall. Each of the six who are not in Cooperstown is a borderline candidate with compelling arguments to be made for and against his induction: Rose was a first ballot selection if not for the fact that he bet on baseball; Allen was a tremendous offensive talent who lost major points for "attitude problems"; Munson was an exceptional catcher before his untimely death (although most expert opinions I've heard argue that he was already on the downside of his career when he died); Lynn was, like Dwight Evan, nearly Jim Rice's equal at the plate and a far superior player in the field; Dawson was a terrific player who didn't get on base all that often and won a largely undeserved MVP award (and could very well be elected in the next year or two); and Canseco not only admitted that he used steroids, but blew the whistle on other guys who used.

As for pitchers, I'm not going to put them in a table - it's easy enough to say that of the five guys who won both awards, only Tom Seaver is in the Hall of Fame. Unlike the everyday players, however, the remaining four pitchers were all very good, but not even close to Hall of Famers. Dwight Gooden won his awards in 1984 and 1985 before destroying his career with drugs; Fernando Valenzuela won both the MVP and Cy Young awards in 1981 - overuse eventually limited his effectiveness; Rick Sutcliffe, like Dawson, wasn't the best choice for a major award in 1984 - it probably should have gone to Gooden, but voters were swayed by Sutcliffe's 16-1 record for the Cubs; and Don Newcombe, the only pitcher to win the Rookie of the Year, Cy Young award, and Most Valuable Player award in his career, lost two years to military service and, if memory serves, struggled with alcohol near the end of his playing days.

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